Accounting and various aspects of finance
shokrollah khajavi; soraya weysihesar
Abstract
Dividend policy is one of the most important topics in financial literature. CEOs with a high level of authority are motivated to use dividends payout as a strategy to build a reputation in capital markets, aiming to obtain external financing on favorable terms. However, the expected net value of such ...
Read More
Dividend policy is one of the most important topics in financial literature. CEOs with a high level of authority are motivated to use dividends payout as a strategy to build a reputation in capital markets, aiming to obtain external financing on favorable terms. However, the expected net value of such a reputation depends on the likelihood of external financing, which is associated with low profitability and high volatility of cash flows. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the effect of CEO authority on the dividends payout probability in the conditions of low profitability and high volatility of cash flow. In doing so, 128 companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange were examined from 2014 to 2021. The results show that the CEO authority has a negative and significant effect on the payment and increase of dividends. Furthermore, low profitability and high volatility of cash flow increase the negative effect of the CEO's authority on the increase of dividends. However, this factor does not have a significant moderating effect on the relationship between CEO authority and dividends payout. Additionally, financial limitations do not have a significant moderating effect on the relationship between CEO authority and payment and increase of dividends. IntroductionThe decision to pay dividends represents one of the most critical choices for managers. The theoretical foundation linking the CEO's behavior and the company's dividend payment is grounded in agency theory. Agency theory suggests that managers, who have control over the company's cash flows, might prioritize their own interests over distributing cash to shareholders. Paying dividends to shareholders diminishes the resources under managers' control, and consequently, reduces their power. Additionally, paying dividends heightens the likelihood of capital market scrutiny on the company, as it often leads to an increased probability of sourcing external financing for investment projects. Financing projects internally circumvents this oversight and the risk that funds may not be accessible or may only be available at high costs. Therefore, agency theory predicts that managers have incentives to portray financial weakness, thereby justifying their decisions not to pay or increase dividends. On the other hand, there are instances where a company's cash flow may be uncertain, such as when the company experiences low profitability and high volatility of cash flow. These two increase the probability of using external financing and are not influenced by powerful CEOs. Therefore, the uncertainty in cash flow overshadows the decisions related to dividends. This is attributed to the fact that powerful CEOs often have greater concerns regarding credit and reputation. Investors often view CEO power as indicative of a greater misalignment between managerial and shareholder interests, signaling weak internal governance and heightened risk of entrenchment or expropriation. Therefore, to provide funds to companies managed by powerful CEOs, investors demand higher returns, which results in an increase in the cost of external financing. Research indicates that powerful CEOs, akin to managers of firms with weak governance structures, encounter higher costs when raising external financing. Furthermore, when anticipating an increase in the need for external funds, these CEOs have a stronger incentive to mitigate reputational concerns by paying dividends. Therefore, powerful CEOs are more likely to pay dividends to invest in reputation, particularly in scenarios of lower profitability and higher cash flow volatility. Based on these considerations, the purpose of this research is to investigate the effect of CEO power on the probability of paying dividends under conditions of low profitability and high volatility of cash flow. Research Questions or HypothesisIn line with the research’s objective, this study seeks to answer the question: Does CEO power affect the probability of paying dividends? Also, do low profitability and high volatility of cash flow have a moderating effect on the relationship between CEO power and the probability of paying dividends? MethodsThe statistical population of this study comprises companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. The research hypotheses were tested on 128 companies over an eight-year period from 2014 to 2021, using multiple regression model and logistic regression. The data necessary for measuring the variables and testing the research hypotheses were primarily sourced from the Rahavard Novin software, audited financial statements, and other reports available on the companies’ websites, Codal and the Securities and Exchange Organization. ResultsThe results show that the power of the CEO has a negative and significant effect on the payment and increase of dividends. Additionally, conditions of low profitability and high volatility of cash flow further amplify the negative effect of the CEO power on the increase of dividends. However, these conditions do not have a significant moderating effect on the relationship between the CEO power and the payment of dividends. Similarly, financial constraints do not have a significant moderating effect on the relationship between the CEO power and the payment and increase of dividends. Discussion and ConclusionThe negative effect of the CEO power on the payment and increase of dividends is in line with agency theory. This theory posits that managers, who have control over the company’s cash flows, might prioritize their own interests over distributing cash to shareholders. Paying dividends to shareholders diminishes the resources under managers' control, and consequently, reduces their power. Additionally, paying dividends heightens the likelihood of capital market scrutiny on the company. Therefore, managers may prefer to present a picture of financial weakness, leading them to be less inclined to pay dividends. The research also revealed that while financial constraints, as well as the combined effect of low profitability and high volatility of cash flow, have a negative and significant relationship with the payment and increase of dividends, financial constraints do not significantly moderate the relationship between CEO power and the payment and increase of dividends. Furthermore, low profitability and high volatility of cash flow do not have a significant moderating effect on the relationship between CEO power and the payment of dividends. However, they do exacerbate the negative effect of CEO power on the increase of dividends. The findings align with the signaling theory of dividend policy. The Information content or signaling theory predicts that in a signaling equilibrium, where a reduction in dividends is associated with a decrease in shareholder wealth, managers are motivated to avoid such outcomes. Therefore, they choose a dividend policy where the declared dividend is lower than the expected dividend. This approach allows them to maintain consistent cash dividend even if subsequent cash flows turn out to be lower than expected. This consideration leads to the prediction that when future cash flow is highly volatile, the dividend payout ratio will be lower. In fact, this implies that when facing uncertainty in cash flow, companies prefer to maintain a low dividend ratio due to the dividend signaling property. They aim to avoid the subsequent losses of dividend cuts, as reducing dividends may lead to a significant drop in the company’s value. The absence of a significant impact from financial constraints and the interaction of low profitability and high volatility of cash flow on the decisions of powerful CEOs to pay dividends indicates that managers likely weigh other factors when determining dividends. Additionally, the need to maintain and build the reputation of powerful CEOs does not depend on paying dividends.
Accounting and various aspects of finance
AliAkbar Javan; jafar babajani; mohamad marfo; Farokh Barzideh
Abstract
In this study, by using the Fuzzy Delphi research methodology and getting the expert opinions, it was tried to identify indicators for improving audit quality approved by experts in order to design a suitable model for the Economy of IRAN by utilizing a confirmatory factor analysis model. Also in this ...
Read More
In this study, by using the Fuzzy Delphi research methodology and getting the expert opinions, it was tried to identify indicators for improving audit quality approved by experts in order to design a suitable model for the Economy of IRAN by utilizing a confirmatory factor analysis model. Also in this research, the gap between current and desired situation of audit quality indicators in IRAN is investigated. Finally, the dimensions of audit quality are ranked in terms of importance. For this purpose, following the International Auditing and Assurance Standards Board, 60 indicators were identified. These indicators were classified in five dimensions: a. Input factors with 21 indicators; B. Process factors with 10 indicators; C. Output factors with 9 indicators; D. Key interactions with 10 indicators; and E. Contextual factors by 10 indicators. Data were analyzed by utilizing R, Amos and Super Decisions software. The findings indicate that 54 indicators have been adopted, which provide a model for improving the Audit Quality. Also the results of comparing the current and desired situation of audit quality improvement indicators shows a significant difference between the current situation of the audit quality and the desired environment in Iran. Finally, the results of ranking the dimensions affecting the improvement of audit quality Shows that process factors are in the first place of importance from the point of view of experts, input factors are in the second place, main interactions and contextual factors are both in the third place and output factors are in the fourth place. IntroductionThe accuracy of the operation of each component of the financial reporting supply chain leads to higher-quality financial reporting. One of the most important components of this chain is external audits that, by considering the public interests, assure that the financial information presented in financial reports is fair and reliable (IAASB, 2011; Royaei et al., 2015; Imani Barandagh, Mehrani and Hojjat Shamami, 2016). Therefore, the international auditing and assurance standards board (IAASB), using a holistic approach, published a framework for audit quality in which the main factors contributing to audit quality are introduced. Researchers in different countries, including Iran, are expected to pay attention to the indicators suggested by the IAASB and adjust these indicators according to the context in which audit firms operate to help those involved in the financial reporting supply chain, especially auditors, to improve audit quality.Thus, conducting a study aimed at developing a model for audit quality improvement in Iran, considering the indicators suggested by the IAASB to improve audit quality and enhance the position of the auditing profession in Iran.Research Question(s)The present study can answer this question: What is the audit quality improvement model in Iran?Literature Review2.1. Audit quality definition:There is still no comprehensive, worldwide, and consensual definition, and thus, audit quality can be introduced as a complex and multidimensional concept (Mashayekhi et al., 2013; Alavi and Vakili Fard, 2021) that cannot be limited to a simple definition and the opinions of all those involved in the financial reporting supply chain should be taken into account (Bonner, 2008; Knechel et al., 2012; IAASB, 2014; Mohammadrezaei et al., 2019).2.2. Efforts to improve audit quality:Financial crises in recent decades have called into question the auditing profession and audit quality. Therefore, Policymakers have made attempts to identify key indicators of audit quality. As a more considerable step, in 2014, the IAASB developed a framework for audit quality in which the main factors contributing to audit quality were introduced. The IAASB has introduced the main factors contributing to audit quality in this framework and believes that following the framework in the economic environment of each country can lead to high-quality audits and improve the position of the auditing profession in society.MethodologyThe present study is applied research in terms of purpose and descriptive survey in terms of the data collection method. The purpose of this study is to identify the indicators of audit quality improvement in Iran and develop a model for audit quality improvement. To this end, the fuzzy Delphi method and the confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) technique are employed.3.1. Statistical population and sampling methodThe statistical population of this study comprises audit experts (the partners and senior managers of audit firms that are a member of the IACPA and Iran audit organization). The expert panel members were selected using the purposive sampling technique and 80 questionnaires were distributed among the audit experts, and finally, 58 questionnaires were collected to analyze the data.Results4.1. The importance level of the research indicators based on experts’ opinions (the results obtained from the fuzzy Delphi method)According to the obtained results, no indicator is removed, and all the indicators play a role in improving audit quality in Iran and are confirmed by experts. 4.2. Audit quality improvement modelIn the next step, the CFA technique was used to extract the research final model. To this end, first, the first-order one-factor CFA model related to audit quality improvement was fitted, and after removing items with factor loadings less than 0.5, 54 indicators remained. The final research model, which is a model for improving audit quality in the economic environment of Iran, was formed as described in Figure 2. Discussion and ConclusionThis study, using the fuzzy Delphi method and obtaining the opinions of 58 experts, seeks to identify audit quality improvement indicators and design a model suitable for the economic environment of Iran. To this end, based on the theoretical framework, 60 indicators were collected and categorized into five dimensions: a) input factors with 21 indicators, b) process factors with 10 indicators, c) output factors with 9 indicators, d) key interactions within the financial reporting supply chain with 10 indicators, and e) contextual factors with 10 indicators. The results show that 54 out of 60 indicators in five separate dimensions are accepted, which represent the model for audit quality improvement in the economic environment of Iran according to experts’ opinions as described in the aforementioned model (Figure 2).
Accounting report
Mohammad Soleymani; Mohammad Arabmazar Yazdi; MohammadHosien SafarZade; Javad Shekarkhah
Abstract
This study aims to investigate how a change in the accounting method of calculating bank loan loss provisions affects financial reporting quality of banks. In doing so, the current theoretical literature on the topic of the research has been described and the conflicting arguments in the previous research ...
Read More
This study aims to investigate how a change in the accounting method of calculating bank loan loss provisions affects financial reporting quality of banks. In doing so, the current theoretical literature on the topic of the research has been described and the conflicting arguments in the previous research have been expressed. Subsequently, using the transfer matrix method, loan loss reserves have been calculated for a sample of 17 banks, assuming that the method approved by international accounting standards (expected credit loss model) has been applied. Then, the research variables’ data, spanning from 2017 to 2021, was collected and analyzed under two assumptions: employing the current method and using the expected credit loss model. Then, the research hypothesis was tested using the least squares method. The results of the research show that the relationship between the change in the reporting system and discretionary accruals as an indicator of the financial reporting quality is negative and significant. Therefore, a change in the current accounting methods used for the calculation of loan loss reserves causes reduction in discretionary accruals and improvement of financial reporting quality. On the other hand, the results of this research show that large banks are more interested in using discretionary accruals and applying profit management than small banks, which can be caused by the "political costs theory". IntroductionThe quality of financial reports remains an important issue, garnering serious attention from regulators, professional accountants and other users of financial information. This is due to the irreplaceable role of financial reporting quality in reducing agency problems and information asymmetry (Anto & Yusran, 2023). In the banking system, the method used for calculating loan loss reserves is one of the most important factors affecting the quality of financial reporting. This is because the loan loss provision, typically the largest bank accrual, is highly correlated with banks' net income and represents the most prevalent accrual. Loan loss provisions are accruals of fundamental importance to bank performance, and they also reflect information asymmetry (Beatty & Liao, 2014).Despite the great importance of loan loss calculation method on banks’ financial reporting, few studies have examined the effectiveness of the current method used in Iranian banks. Additionally, research exploring the impact of changes in the loan loss calculation method on the quality of banks' financial reporting has been limited. Given this context, it becomes imperative to investigate the influence of this crucial variable on the quality of bank financial reporting. Conducting this research, particularly in Iran with its bank-oriented economy, can enhance the quality of financial reporting. This improvement would be achieved by selecting the optimal method for calculating loan loss reserves, thereby increasing the transparency of information in banks.Research Question(s)The main question of this research is as follows:Does the change in the bank loan loss reserves calculation method have a significant effect on the quality of banks financial reporting? Literature ReviewIn the current literature, two predominant views exist regarding the impact of changes in accounting methods on the quality of financial reporting. The first view posits that changing accounting methods, equated to adopting international accounting standards, enhances financial reporting quality. Conversely, the second view contends that there is either no relationship or a negative relationship between the adoption of new accounting methods and financial reporting quality. Mensah (2021) demonstrated a significant negative relationship between the use of new accounting methods and profit management, suggesting that methods endorsed by international accounting standards elevate the quality of companies’ financial reporting. This finding aligns with the conclusions of researchers like Nikhil et al. (2023), Ozili and Outa (2019), and Haapamakia (2018). On the contrary, Oppong & Bruce-Amartey (2022) examined the effects of new standards and corporate governance on accounting quality in Ghana, discovering that the implementation of new standards adversely impacts accounting quality. Similar conclusions were drawn by researchers like Suadiye (2017) and Campa & Donnelly (2016). MethodologyThis research employed a quantitative approach to examine the effect of changes in accounting methods on the quality of financial reporting. Initially, data was gathered using the current numbers of the financial statements of selected banks. Subsequently, the loan loss reserve calculation method was altered, and the research data was re-estimated using the new accounting method, aided by a transition matrix and the IFRS 9 formula. The research hypothesis was then tested using both datasets. The sample comprised data from 17 Iranian banks spanning the years 2017 to 2021. This data was collected using the Rahavard Novin database, the banks' financial statements, and analyzed using SPSS version 27 and EViews version 10 software, employing the least squares regression method. ResultsThe research findings reveal a significant negative relationship (at a significance level of 0.000) between the financial reporting system and discretionary accruals. This outcome suggests that a change in the method of calculating bank loan loss reserves, coupled with the adoption of a new method, leads to a decrease in discretionary accruals and in banks' earnings management practices. Additionally, the research indicates that the relationship between discretionary accruals and cash flow from operating activities, banks' profitability, and financial leverage is significantly negative. In contrast, the relationship between discretionary accruals and bank size is positive and significant. However, there appears to be no significant relationship between growth rate and asset turnover with discretionary accruals at the 5% significance level. DiscussionThe results of this research show that adopting the expected loss method, as opposed to the current method used in Iranian banks for calculating loan loss reserves, enhances the transparency of bank information and improves the quality of financial reporting. By reducing discretionary accruals, the new reporting system encourages banks to utilize fewer accruals, likely leading to a decrease in the use of profit management methods. Consequently, the adoption of IFRS in Iranian banks positively impacts the industry and its stakeholders. Furthermore, the research reveals that larger banks tend to employ discretionary accruals and engage in profit management more than smaller banks, a phenomenon potentially explained by the "political cost theory". ConclusionThe relationship between the quality of financial reporting and changes in bank loan loss reserves is positive and significant. Thus, the research hypothesis is confirmed, supporting the perspective of the first group (as discussed in the Literature Review section) in the context of Iranian banks. Based on these findings, it is recommended that the central bank mandate banks to disclose their reserves using the expected credit loss method as an initial step. Subsequently, banks whose reserves significantly deviate from the amounts calculated according to IFRS standards should be compelled to adjust their reserves over several years. This gradual approach aims to align the current reserves more closely with those calculated using the expected credit loss method.
Accounting and various aspects of finance
Mehdi Nikravesh
Abstract
This study examines the effect of firms’ chief executive officers’ overconfidence on their firms’ profitability and the predictability of this profitability. The study tests hypotheses regarding the significant positive impact of chief executive officers' overconfidence on profitability ...
Read More
This study examines the effect of firms’ chief executive officers’ overconfidence on their firms’ profitability and the predictability of this profitability. The study tests hypotheses regarding the significant positive impact of chief executive officers' overconfidence on profitability and its predictability. This is accomplished using the Generalized Method of Moments regression analyses on data from 257 CEOs of firms listed on the Tehran Securities Exchange over a sixteen-year period. The initial results indicate positive impacts of overconfidence on firms’ profitability and the predictability of future profitability. The robustness of the findings was tested by altering the profitability measures from return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) to Tobin's Q, as well as by changing the proxy for managerial overconfidence. These checks emphasize the role of overconfidence in the examined context. These findings support the positive roles of employing overconfident managers in the firms. By contributing to the limited body of literature on the positive effects of managers’ overconfidence, the findings can be used by investors, analysts, and other users of the results to consider overconfidence in their analyses of profitability and its predictability.Keywords: Managerial Overconfidence, Profitability, Predictability Of Future Profitability, Behavioral Approach IntroductionManagerial overconfidence, the individual tendency to be optimistic about the firm’s future and their power over it (Skala, 2008; Hribar and Yang, 2016), is one of the most significant biases studied in finance and accounting literature. Prior research has shown the negative role of this behavioral bias on firms’ finance and financial reporting features such as dividend payment (Deshmukh et al., 2013; Mashayekh & Behzadpur, 2014), finance policies (Malmendier & Tate, 2005; Malmendier & Tate, 2008), financial restatement (Presley & Abbott, 2013; Shekarkhah et al., 2019), and management earnings forecasts (Mehrani & Taheri, 2015; Hribar and Yang, 2016; Sheri Anaghiz et al., 2019). While numerous studies have focused on the negative impact of managerial overconfidence, there are relatively few that have explored the positive aspect of the bias. One of the positive impacts of overconfidence may include the improvement of firms’ profitability and its predictability (Kim et al., 2022).Because of their optimistic viewpoint regarding future firm performance, overconfident managers often invest in R&D and creative activities, potentially resulting in higher profits for their firms (Galasso & Simcoe, 2011; Hirshleifer et al., 2012; Xia et al., 2023). These activities may have long-term outcomes, including profitability. Consequently, the performance of firms managed by overconfident chief executive officers tends to be more positive compared to other firms. Moreover, due to the long-term investments made by overconfident CEOs, the future profitability of their firms is often higher compared to those managed by not-overconfident managers. Therefore, the predictability of future performance tends to be higher in firms that have overconfident managers (Kim et al., 2022). These theoretical predictions require empirical testing, and this paper conducts such an examination in an emerging market context, specifically the Tehran Securities Exchange.Several important reasons exist for studying the effects of firms' chief executive officers' overconfidence on their firms' profitability and the predictability of this profitability. First, this study heightens the understanding of economic decision-makers regarding the potential impacts of overconfidence, which is useful for perceiving its economic outcomes in firms. Second, it can reveal the role of bias in an emerging market. Third, this research employs dynamic panel data analyses to test the hypotheses, as some prior studies have shown a serial correlation between dependent variables, including profitability and predictability (McNamara & Duncan, 1995; Mashayekhi & Mennati, 2012; Kim et al., 2022), which has been overlooked in previous research concerning the role of overconfidence in profitability and its predictability. Fourth, as suggested by Kim et al (2022), there is less evidence about the positive impacts of overconfidence compared to its negative effects. This paper contributes to the literature by presenting evidence about the positive role of managerial overconfidence. Literature ReviewOverconfident managers usually possess a positive outlook on their abilities and they tend to forecast the future optimistically (Heaton, 2002; Hribar and Yang, 2016). This viewpoint often leads to overinvestment, especially in R&D and creative activities (Galasso & Simcoe, 2011; Hirshleifer et al., 2012). Therefore, there is a higher probability of achieving greater profitability in firms managed by overconfident managers. Based on this, the first hypothesis is developed as follows.H1: Managerial overconfidence has a significant positive impact on firms’ profitability.Overinvestment in firms led by overconfident CEOs is often long-term. By creating competitive advantages through these investments, these firms can experience continuous profits (Kim et al., 2022). Therefore, these profits can be more predictable than the profits of firms managed by non-overconfident managers. This expectation can be formulated into a hypothesis as follows.H2: Managerial overconfidence has a significant positive impact on the predictability of firms’ profitability. MethodologyThe study’s hypotheses were tested using Generalized Method of Moments regression analyses on data from 257 CEOs of firms listed on the Tehran Securities Exchange over a sixteen-year period (2007-2022). Initial analyses were conducted using the study’s main proxy for managerial overconfidence, as introduced by Sheri anaghiz et al. (2019). Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity(ROE) are two main proxies for measuring profitability. Additional analyses, as the robustness checks, examined the hypotheses by changing the measure of overconfidence to overinvestment proxy introduced by Schrand & Zechman (2012) and changing the measures of profitability to Tobin’s Q. To assess predictability, I used the correlation between present and future profitability changes. I tested the hypotheses using two regression models that included control variable such as financial leverage, firm size, sales growth, earnings growth, growth opportunities, earnings volatility, discretionary accruals, and lagged dependent variables. ResultsThe primary results indicated positive impacts of overconfidence, as measured by the main proxy, on firms’ profitability and predictability of future profitability, as indicated by proxies such as Return on Assets and Return on Equity. The robustness checks, which involved changing the profitability measures from these proxies to Tobin’s Q, showed the significant effects of managerial overconfidence on profitability and its predictability. Further robustness checks, which involved changing the managerial overconfidence proxy to an overinvestment proxy, emphasized the role of overconfidence in the examined context. Overall, the findings support the hypotheses of the research. DiscussionThe results showed the significant role of CEOs’ overconfidence in generating profits and improving their predictability. These findings highlight the importance of the behavioral approach in explaining the positive effects of CEOs’ cognitive bias on organizational performance. These findings are consistent with previous studies by Hirshleifer et al. (2012), Zavertiaeva et al. (2018), Alberts (2018), and Kim et al. (2022), which also support the idea that employing overconfident CEOs can benefit firms. ConclusionThis paper highlights the significance of managerial overconfidence in shaping firms’ profitability and its predictability. The findings shed light on one of the most important reasons why overconfident managers are hired in firms and how their presence can impact the predictability of financial performance. These results can be valuable for investors when making decisions about firms and for analysts when analyzing both present and future financial performance. The main limitation of the paper is that the sample did not include the financial firms such as banks, insurance companies, and investment firms.AcknowledgmentsI thank my family for their continued support. Managerial overconfidence, the individual tendency to be optimistic about the firm’s future and their power over it (Skala, 2008; Hribar and Yang, 2016), is one of the most significant biases studied in finance and accounting literature. Prior research has shown the negative role of this behavioral bias on firms’ finance and financial reporting features such as dividend payment (Deshmukh et al., 2013; Mashayekh & Behzadpur, 2014), finance policies (Malmendier & Tate, 2005; Malmendier & Tate, 2008), financial restatement (Presley & Abbott, 2013; Shekarkhah et al., 2019), and management earnings forecasts (Mehrani & Taheri, 2015; Hribar and Yang, 2016; Sheri Anaghiz et al., 2019). While numerous studies have focused on the negative impact of managerial overconfidence, there are relatively few that have explored the positive aspect of the bias. One of the positive impacts of overconfidence may include the improvement of firms’ profitability and its predictability (Kim et al., 2022).
Accounting and various aspects of finance
Mohammad Hassanjani Khoshkroudi; Iman Dadashi; Bahram Mohseni maleki rastaghi; Hamidreza Gholamnia roshan
Abstract
The aim of this study is to develop a comprehensive model that identifies the non-fragile variables affecting the quality of tax audit. We analyzed 511 tax files from Mazandaran province in the period spanning 2012 and 2021. Initially, through interviews with experts and literature, 64 factors affecting ...
Read More
The aim of this study is to develop a comprehensive model that identifies the non-fragile variables affecting the quality of tax audit. We analyzed 511 tax files from Mazandaran province in the period spanning 2012 and 2021. Initially, through interviews with experts and literature, 64 factors affecting the quality of tax audits were identified. These factors were categorized into three groups: characteristics of taxpayers, tax auditors, and macro factors. Subsequently, the relevant data were applied to Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), Time-Varying Parameter Dynamic Model Averaging (TVP- DMA), and the Time-Varying Parameter Dynamic Model Selection (TVP-DMS) models. Among these, the BMA model demonstrated the highest accuracy based on the error rate. After model estimation, 17 main indicators were identified as influential variables in three areas. In the realm of tax auditors, these included the quality of past period tax audits, work experience, individual or group handling of audits, auditor expertise, auditors’ use of information, auditor’s workload, conducting audits across multiple tax sources, interactions with related parties, the presence of unofficial invoices, and the use of others’ business cards. In terms of intra-company variables, accrued earning management and debt ratio were identified. Finally, macroeconomic variables impacting the quality of tax audits were found to be inflation, unofficial exchange rates, tax complexity, tax fairness, the business environment index, and the social capital index. IntroductionFactors affecting the quality of tax auditors can be divided into three groups: characteristics of taxpayers, tax auditors, and macro factors. The current challenge in evaluating factors that determine the quality of tax auditors lies in the diversity of theories and the absence of a specific, universally accepted model. On one hand, the multitude of potential explanatory variables affects the quality of tax auditors. On the other hand, this abundance makes the use of classical econometric models problematic. One method to address the uncertainty in selecting variables and choosing the appropriate model is to employ conventional techniques in Bayesian econometrics. These include Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), Bayesian Maximum Likelihood Averaging Model (BML), Time-Varying Parameter Dynamic Model Averaging (TVP-DMA), and Time-Varying Parameter Dynamic Model Selection (TVP-DMS). Little research has been conducted in the field of tax audit quality. Furthermore, to date, there has been no research that attempts to model this index using non-linear Bayesian approaches and time-varying parameters simultaneously; such an approach has not yet been adopted. Literature ReviewThe lack of tax revenue and non-payment of taxes pose significant challenges to the development of countries. In recent years, the tax gap has widened in both developing and developed countries. The tax gap is defined as the difference between the taxes that are legally owed and the amount of tax actually collected. Non-compliance with tax laws by both taxpayers and tax officials is a fundamental issue in emerging and developing economies. Tax audit is one of the methods employed to achieve the necessary compliance with tax laws (Aia et al., 2016). Combating tax evasion is a fundamental objective of all global tax systems, for which there are generally two basic strategies. One strategy is the establishment and enhancement of reliable self-assessment systems, and the second is the implementation of risk-based tax audits (Dehghani Doyle, 2019). Therefore, the primary objective of this study is to develop a model aimed at enhancing the quality of tax audits. MethodologyThe research focuses on the tax files of all taxpayers, both individuals and legal entities, which have been audited by the Mazandaran province tax organization between 2010 and 2021. The sample comprises information extracted from tax files of taxpayers with files valued at 10 billion Rials and above. This threshold of 10 billion Rials was set to exclude small taxpayers, who generally do not have a substantial information burden, thus focusing on a more specific level of taxpayers. Following interviews with experts from the tax organization and university professors, and a review of past research, a total of 64 factors influencing the quality of tax audits were identified. These factors were categorized into three main groups: macro variables, characteristics of taxpayers, and characteristics of tax auditors. BMA approach has been used in this research. ResultsFrom the viewpoint of tax audit service providers, establishing strategies to enhance the quality of tax audits is essential. This includes creating and reinforcing facilities systematically, conducting joint and integrated audits, and defining mechanisms to ensure auditors' independence. To effectively implement these strategies, it is crucial to consider the various dimensions of factors that affect the quality of tax audits. To achieve this objective, information on the indicators of the 64 factors affecting the quality of tax audits was input into three models: BMA, TVP-DMA and TVP-DMS. Based on the error rate, the BMA model demonstrated the highest level of accuracy. Following the model estimation, 17 main variables were identified. These variables include: the quality of tax audit of the past period, job experience, whether the case should be handled individually or as a group, auditor expertise, the extent of auditors’ use of received information, auditor’s work pressure, transactions with related parties, the presence of unofficial invoices, using other people’s business cards, accrued profit management, debt ratio, inflation, unofficial exchange rate, tax complexity, tax fairness, business climate index, and social capital index.Based on the results of the research, the following suggestions are proposed:Mechanization of all tax audit processes.Establishing an integrated system of a smart database of circulars, instructions, and regulations.Implementing measures and efforts to provide all tax auditors with access to the financial and economic microdata of taxpayers.Development and implementation of integrated tax audit software across all sources.Emphasizing the quality and substance of the content in issued tax audit reports. DiscussionThe identified variables are divided into three main categories: tax auditor variables (the quality of tax audit of the past period, job experience, whether the case should be handled individually or as a group, auditor expertise, the extent of auditors’ use of received information, auditor’s work pressure, transactions with related parties, the presence of unofficial invoices, using other people’s business cards), Internal variables (accrued profit management; debt ratio), and macroeconomic variables (inflation, unofficial exchange rate, tax complexity, tax fairness, business climate index and social capital index). ConclusionGiven the scarcity of comprehensive research in the field of tax audit quality, a multifaceted model has been designed to address this gap. It provides a comprehensive perspective on the quality of tax audit. Focusing on all dimensions of tax audit quality fosters the development of a systemic perspective in this field. Expanding the systemic perspective is expected to enhance the efficiency of the tax audit system. This improvement in efficiency can lead to more effective tax collection across different economic sectors, ultimately contributing to broader economic development.
Financial Accounting
Sajad Naghdi; Roghayye Jeddi
Abstract
The willingness of accountants to participate in the certified public accountant (CPA) exam has led to a highly competitive and challenging environment. Therefore, the aim of this research is to explore the lived experiences of CPA candidates. Given the psychological orientations, the unique scientific ...
Read More
The willingness of accountants to participate in the certified public accountant (CPA) exam has led to a highly competitive and challenging environment. Therefore, the aim of this research is to explore the lived experiences of CPA candidates. Given the psychological orientations, the unique scientific and social structure of the candidates, and the multi-dimensionality of the exam, an interpretive paradigm and the qualitative method of phenomenology were employed for an in-depth study without statistical calculations. This study involved 37 participants, comprising 16 CPAs and 21 individuals who were rejected candidates, chosen through purposeful sampling. Data collection was conducted using the semi-structured interview method until the theoretical saturation limit was attained. Data analysis was carried out in five stages using Giorgi's method. The analysis yielded four main themes: weaknesses and limitations, structural challenges, strengths, and solutions to enhance the exam's quality. Each main theme encompassed three sub-themes with 99 narratives. Additionally, despite differing perspectives among candidates, a strong emphasis on the lack of educational resources, particularly in accounting and auditing courses, was noted. The findings also highlight a need to broaden the exam's scope to cover technical skills and reduce theoretical questions. Overall, the research underscores the significance of developing educational resources and focusing on practical questions to address the primary concerns of the candidates. IntroductionThe willingness of accountants to participate in the certified public accountant (CPA) exam has led to a highly competitive and challenging environment. Therefore, the aim of this research is to explore the lived experiences of CPA candidates. Since the accounting profession is continuously evolving and its complexity is increasing every day, it is necessary to consider this dynamic in the process of determining the qualification of certified public accountant. Some professionals have raised concerns about the design of the CPA exam, particularly regarding questions that are incorrectly framed, ambiguous, or have multiple or no correct answers. This issue often leads to candidates wasting time on such questions during the exam, a loss that cannot be compensated. Furthermore, the exam's administration also poses problems, such as an unfavorable physical environment and the use of non-professional proctors, contributing to stress. These factors collectively result in anxiety and psychosis both during and after the exam. Therefore, the systematic evaluation of various dimensions of the certified public accountant exam with the direct participation of the candidates can help identify and rectify the existing gaps and limitations. The findings from this research could then inform policy-making and program formulation within the certified accountant community.Literature ReviewConsidering the importance of the role of certified public accountant in society, the process of selecting and verifying their qualifications is also very important. For the first time, at the end of the 19th century, chartered accountants emerged as an institution in Britain, which at that time had the most advanced financial and economic system. Early in the 20th century, this institution started working in the United States of America. However, the pathology of the process of determining the qualification of a certified public accountant in Iran has shown several key challenges. These challenges include exam content and conducting method, necessary features to become a CPA, certification conditions and exam structure.MethodologyGiven the psychological orientations, the unique scientific and social structure of the candidates, and the multi-dimensionality of the exam, an interpretive paradigm and the qualitative method of phenomenology were employed for an in-depth study without statistical calculations. This study involved 37 participants, comprising 16 CPAs and 21 individuals who were rejected candidates, chosen through purposeful sampling. Data collection was conducted using the semi-structured interview method until the theoretical saturation limit was attained. Data analysis was carried out in five stages using Giorgi's method.ResultsThe analysis yielded four main themes: weaknesses and limitations, structural challenges, strengths, and solutions to enhance the exam's quality. Each main theme encompassed three sub-themes with 99 narratives. Additionally, despite differing perspectives among candidates, a strong emphasis on the lack of educational resources, particularly in accounting and auditing courses, was noted. The findings also highlight a need to broaden the exam's scope to cover technical skills and reduce theoretical questions.DiscussionObtaining the title of a CPA is a coveted goal for accountants from the onset of their careers. Consequently, it is essential to ensure that individuals who successfully navigate through the CPA qualification process possess the minimum required skills and expertise. The dynamic nature of economic, social, technological, environmental, and legal components continually influences the competencies and capabilities required of certified public accountants. Currently, the CPA exam in Iran faces criticism from professional accounting members, highlighting a clear concern: the existing procedures for determining the qualifications of CPAs are not adequately keeping pace with the rapid environmental changes.ConclusionIn general, the findings of this study indicate the importance of developing educational resources and focusing on practical questions, reflecting the primary concerns of CPA exam candidates. The lack of educational resources were emphasized by the majority of participants. Therefore, it is necessary for the community of certified public accountants to collaborate effectively with academic professionals. This collaboration should aim to produce textbooks and exam questions that are closely aligned with the curriculum, particularly in areas of accounting and auditing. It is recommended to include questions that assess talent skills such as comprehension, reasoning, and verbal abilities, as well as technical competencies like computer and Excel skills. Furthermore, the design of the questions should be such that they can be answered effectively only by candidates with relevant work experience (practical work) and those who have engaged in extensive and in-depth study (beyond mere memorization) of the subject matter. Considering the nature of the CPA exam, it is suggested to incorporate a wide range of questions to thoroughly evaluate a candidate's knowledge across all subjects. This approach should extend beyond just a few standards or specific areas to ensure that the candidates possess a well-rounded understanding of the entire curriculum.
Accounting and various aspects of finance
Ahmad Mahdavi; Ali Zabihi; Abassali Pouraghajan
Abstract
The purpose of this research is to evaluate the challenging areas of accrual accounting implementation in the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran province. The methodology of this study is mixed. In the qualitative part, through systematic screening, the challenging ...
Read More
The purpose of this research is to evaluate the challenging areas of accrual accounting implementation in the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran province. The methodology of this study is mixed. In the qualitative part, through systematic screening, the challenging areas of accrual accounting implementation in the public sector are identified. Subsequently, these dimensions' reliability is assessed in two stages of Delphi analysis. Finally, in the quantitative part, through interpretive ranking analysis, the study seeks to evaluate the areas identified in the context of the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran province. The results of the study in the qualitative part indicated the existence of 9 challenging areas for the implementation of accrual accounting in the public sector, and during the process of fuzzy Delphi analysis, 8 criteria were confirmed as the reasons for the gap in the implementation of accrual accounting. Then, in the quantitative part, the study determined that the challenge of applying accounting standards of the public sector is a key factor in creating a gap in the implementation of accrual accounting in the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran province. The results also indicate that the public sector accounting standards, despite various amendments over the years, have tried to improve the implementation of accrual accounting in the public sector.IntroductionWith the emergence of accounting in the public sector, the nature and form of responsibility and accountability has changed so that organizations gradually moved towards transparency through accounting. These organizations were the guardians of public interests and had to consider themselves responsible for the needs of citizens. The dominant approach at the time of the formation of the role of accounting in the public sector was to focus on the cash basis. In doing so, public sector organizations tried to identify and disclose revenues and expenses identically and at the time of occurrence (Ismail, 2023). However, with the beginning of paradigm changes in the broad field of human sciences, this part of the accounting functions of the public sector has also changed, and many organizations have started moving towards the accrual basis in the disclosure of financial events from the mid-80s. In essence, accrual accounting has been considered the cornerstone of reforming financial information systems in public sectors. This shift was created in response to the acceptance of changes from traditional public management (PM) to modern public management (NPM), driven by the low efficiency of accountability and transparency systems. On the other hand, the emergence of legitimacy approaches, borrowed from business management to promote accountability in the public sector, has fueled the development of citizen rights management mechanisms in the last decade, transforming traditional public financial management (PFM) into modern public financial management (NPFM) (Dissanayake and Dellaportas, 2023). MethodologyIn terms of the results, this study is considered part of development research. This is because the issue of identifying the challenging areas of implementing accrual accounting in the public sector has been investigated in previous research as a main variable or complementary to other operational aspects of government accounting, such as budgeting, responsiveness, internal controls, and others. However, it has not been considered as a theoretical framework for explanation in the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran province. Conducting this study can help the development of theoretical and analytical literature in this field of study. The existence of this gap in the literature led us to present a model and evaluate the challenging areas of implementing accrual accounting in the public sector through the combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis processes. Therefore, in terms of the type of data, this study should be considered mixed, as the qualitative section identifies the challenging areas of accrual accounting implementation in the public sector through systematic screening, and Delphi analysis is used to confirm the reliability level of the identified dimensions. Then, based on the process of interpretative ranking analysis in the quantitative part, the study seeks to evaluate the challenging areas of accrual accounting implementation in the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran province. ResultIn this study, an effort was made to identify the most relevant dimensions that contribute to gaps in the implementation of accrual accounting in the public sector. This was achieved through systematic screening of research literature and a subsequent Delphi analysis for reliability assessment of these dimensions. Then, through interpretive ranking analysis, the study aimed to determine the most challenging areas in implementing accrual accounting in the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran Province. The specific analysis revealed that the challenge of applying public sector accounting standards is the most significant factor contributing to the gap in the implementation of accrual accounting in the General Department of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Mazandaran Province. ConclusionIn interpreting these results, it should be noted that although the public sector accounting standards have undergone various amendments over the years to improve the implementation of accrual accounting, there remains a lack of coverage in aspects of compliance with Clause (d) of Article (28) of the Accession Law. Certain provisions in the law that regulates a part of the government's financial regulations (2), specifically those concerning spending credits and acquisition of capital assets, suggest that the absence of distinct headings in alignment with the program and budget organization could facilitate the reallocation of resources to different expenditure categories within organizations. This is an issue in the public sector for which a specific mechanism, as per Article (30) of the Program and Budget Law, has not been approved, thus impacting the ability to commit and accurately allocate credits and expenses for capital assets. Additionally, although Circular No. 210786/57, dated 11/7/2014, was issued to public sector organizations to address the obligations of excess reporting and credit allocation for saving realized costs, there exists an implementation gap in this directive. This gap affects the supervisory role in liability obligations, leading to an excess in credit allocation often recorded under other debt headings instead of being classified as reserves for realized expenses or capital obligations.
