Javad Shekarkhah Shekarkhah; Keivan Ghasedi Dizaji
Abstract
In this study we evaluate the effects of macroeconomic factors on managements financing decision. Inflation rate, exchange rate, economic growth, interest rate and the amount of bank credits are considered as proxies of macroeconomic factors, furthermore the ratio of debt to equity ...
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In this study we evaluate the effects of macroeconomic factors on managements financing decision. Inflation rate, exchange rate, economic growth, interest rate and the amount of bank credits are considered as proxies of macroeconomic factors, furthermore the ratio of debt to equity is appointed as the proxy of managements financing decision. We gather the required data from published information by listed companies in Tehran stock exchange during the period of 1375 to 1390. In order to analyze the data we apply multiple variableregressions based on panel data. Our results show that inflation rate, economic growth rate and interest rate have significant negative relation with managements financing decision. In contrast, our findings show that exchange rate and amount of bank credits have no significant relation with managements financing decision.
Rafik Baghoomian; Hojjat Mohammadi Mohammadi; Sajad Naghdi
Abstract
This paper assesses the impact of a comprehensive set of macroeconomic factors (including changes in exchange rate, changes in inflation rate, changes in liquidity, changes in trade balance, and changes in gross domestic production) on error of management earnings forecast in companies ...
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This paper assesses the impact of a comprehensive set of macroeconomic factors (including changes in exchange rate, changes in inflation rate, changes in liquidity, changes in trade balance, and changes in gross domestic production) on error of management earnings forecast in companies annual reports. Detailed analysis of research related to earnings forecasting bymanagers and especially researches in Iran, indicates lack of adequate attention to the impact of the macroeconomic variables on earnings forecast error so this paper seeks to fill this research gap. The data set includes 80 companies listed on Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) for the period of 1386 - 1393. The study used Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression model toexamine the relationship between above mentioned macroeconomic factors and management earnings forecast. The empirical results show that among the macroeconomic variables that have been examined, there are only significant positive relationships between two of above mentioned macroeconomic factors (including changes in exchange rate, and changes in gross domestic product) and management earnings forecast. We did not find any statistically significant association between other macroeconomic factors (including changes in inflation rate, liquidity, and trade balance) and management earnings forecast. The results suggest that macroeconomic variables can affect the accuracy of earnings forecasts by management, hence the neglecting of such factors can result in increasing in the error of earnings forecasts.
